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Test The sniper's fallacy
Agenda
1st QUESTION: What is the sniper fallacy?
Identify meaningful patterns in random data
Search for accurate scientific information
Always follow mathematical logic
Aceptar toda coincidencia como real
QUESTION 2: What is the metaphor that gives this fallacy its name?
A shooter who shoots randomly and then draws the target
A sniper who always hits the center of the target
An archer who analyzes the wind before shooting
An aiming game without rules
QUESTION 3: How is this fallacy related to confirmation bias?
Both select information that confirms previous ideas
No relationship
The fallacy eliminates the bias
Bias corrects the fallacy
4th QUESTION: How can anyone justify an alleged premonition according to this bias?
Through calculations that match data with sleep
Ignoring the results of the draw
Based on chance alone
Using reliable statistics
QUESTION 5: What is the risk of this pattern of thinking in relation to conspiracy theories?
Facilitates unfounded beliefs to take hold
Eliminates any possibility of doubt
Generates extreme skepticism
Produces rational logic always
QUESTION 6: What effect does this bias have on the perception of reality and decision making?
Conditions perception and future decisions
Encourages critical thinking
No real effect
Improved objectivity
7th QUESTION: What attitude should be avoided in order not to fall into this fallacy?
The desire to be right at all costs
Rigorous statistical analysis
Constant verification
Openness to new ideas
QUESTION 8: What strategy helps to validate a theory more objectively?
Consciously search for data that contradict our theories
Select the data that best fit
Reduce the amount of information available
Avoiding contrary evidence
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INCORRECT QUESTIONS
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Are there any errors or improvements?
Where is the error?
What is the error?
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